Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 8.841861 10.432083 12.181322 14.242154 16.597243 19.198048 22.280761
2025-04-20 6.480026 8.697651 11.408280 14.933679 19.362364 24.703658 31.590728
2025-04-27 5.228768 7.771736 11.145567 15.874260 22.243150 30.426023 41.619183
2025-05-04 4.232898 6.875223 10.636098 16.248443 24.252480 35.073721 50.584956
2025-05-11 3.410721 6.012293 9.959796 16.190004 25.532354 38.730744 58.418199
2025-05-18 2.740543 5.222753 9.222812 15.871484 26.306889 41.642494 65.339757
2025-05-25 2.218562 4.557248 8.547770 15.509427 26.904943 44.262589 71.949175
2025-06-01 1.805811 3.990539 7.929264 15.123008 27.370066 46.652677 78.315488
2025-06-08 1.418118 3.382272 7.130190 14.301941 27.001781 47.664195 82.573482
2025-06-15 1.283027 3.248139 7.166088 14.934330 29.104558 52.730515 93.497441
2025-06-22 1.132241 3.047438 7.040025 15.243855 30.656525 56.981645 103.353790
2025-06-29 0.921916 2.664412 6.488034 14.669395 30.557196 58.432331 108.667967
2025-07-06 0.713140 2.244776 5.815951 13.826802 29.988287 59.225443 113.293640
2025-07-13 0.649484 2.180087 5.913379 14.582840 32.562959 65.812994 128.443695
2025-07-20 0.603246 2.150688 6.086249 15.520369 35.584036 73.430514 145.905712
2025-07-27 0.530392 2.024310 6.005591 15.890359 37.498779 79.147927 160.341349
2025-08-03 0.448054 1.842855 5.753163 15.833587 38.521694 83.255239 172.103776
2025-08-10 0.369066 1.644105 5.414461 15.521238 38.961042 86.258587 181.993249
2025-08-17 0.302407 1.461986 5.080693 15.166117 39.258574 88.986406 191.508630
2025-08-24 0.246758 1.297236 4.758623 14.787108 39.452349 91.502435 200.748386
2025-08-31 0.190379 1.102851 4.301588 13.981868 38.574764 91.754422 205.578676
2025-09-07 0.175643 1.080239 4.372994 14.602057 41.095146 99.216244 225.057932
2025-09-14 0.155883 1.026357 4.332071 14.905637 42.882114 105.240583 241.973525